Archive for Policy

Economic development vs climate change?

Much has been written about the “clash of philosophies” – Developing country economic development vs fight against climate change. Many people complain that we should be “lifting people out of poverty” so they can afford to mitigate the effects of climate change. In opposition, climate change activists reply that this will be disasterous – imagine what the environment would be like if everyone lived like the average American…

Well, I think the answer to this apparent conumdrum is to give us all carbon credits. Each action we take has a carbon cost. We could buy/sell apples internationally if we wanted, but you’d have to balance this against other life-style choices. The principle works at all levels, where-ever there is a defined entity (e.g. company, charity, country). It also works best under an international contract and convergence scheme aimed at normalising atmospheric levels by a certain date. You would simply calculate year-on-year the total number of credits available and divide them up – each year the number would fall and the cost of borrowing more than your allotment would rise (as it does for regular monetary debt now).

In practical terms it’s complex (probably) but I think it couched in the right terms it’s not very different from what people are used to right now – credit cards, food calories and similar concepts.

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Stern Report on Climate Change – comments

The Economist had a few things to say about the Stern Report, positive and negative. Unfortunately you need a subscription to view:

against: http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=E1_RQTNJQP

for: http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=E1_RTDRNNT

For a more accessible discussion, look at WorldChanging.

I’m tempted to provide the full text, but The Economist might complain… So I’ll quote some portions and links to other (critical) reviews.

The economic arguments against revolve around the use of two constants, delta and eta, “The characters are Sir Nicholas’s shorthand for two concepts. Delta determines the weight he places on the welfare of future generations that are not yet here to stick up for their own interests. Eta governs his answer to a different question: how much weight should be given to the consumption of the rich relative to that of the poor?”.

The critisism focusses on the choice of values for these constants – the assumptions made will no doubt lead to endless debate and mean that the report is essentially one scenario of many (much like the IPCC climate change prediction scenarios). Depending on how you select values, the burden of costs vary and so do the benefits. Making policy based on the report should certainly take into account the assumptions leading to a particular scenario.

The more pro-angle takes the view that however you might split hairs about the actual costs, these will most likely be small in comparison to future savings – especially when you liken the spending in terms of insurance against potential catastrophic costs.

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Off-setting

Now here’s a slightly tricky subject. There are an increasing number of ways to offset your CO2, but how to know which is best or even if your chosen method is effective? It’s a complicated subject and still much debated in scientific circles. To date, I’ve signed up with BP’s Target Neutral campaign, which allows you to offset vehicle emissions by helping them pay for projects (mostly renewable energy related in poorer countries). However, I think I could do better – not least in handling the issues mentioned earlier.

Areas still to work on:

  • Select the most appropriate method of offsetting.  The UK government has re-kindled the discussion regarding how to define (effective)  offsetting by issuing some guidelines that affect the 60-odd companies based in the UK.  Only 4 fulfilled all their criteria apparently!
  • My central heating is gas powered, an obvious item to offset.
  • Work travel. I’d like to work out how to pursuade my HR dept. at work to link my CO2 emissions gained during business travel to a cunning scheme from the Charities Trust that allows you to donate directly via the PAYE system to any UK registered charity.
  • Holiday travel. Well, this one is a special case of the previous – I’d just have to sort out payments myself.

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